Long Covid: Rethinking Our Covid-19 Future — Dr Amar-Singh HSS

What is required is a measured, careful approach that keeps our families safe while we continue with the needs of work, school, and leisure.

I often find that a person’s response to Covid-19, especially in the current climate when the government has announced a move to endemicity, is often related to how much of the evidence they read on Covid-19.

One poorly discussed issue regarding our Covid-19 risk is the serious effect of long Covid and the long-term health impacts (post-Covid conditions) of a Covid-19 infection.

There is a growing body of evidence that requires our attention. Allow me to summarise some of the evidence that is already available.

Although individual research may be limited in size, when put together, the collective work should make us sit up and take note of this health threat.

I am indebted to Stephen Reicher, Professor of Social Psychology at the University of St Andrews, for some of the ideas and links in this article.

How Common is Long Covid and Does Vaccination Help?

There is limited data locally on long Covid, although the Ministry of Health (MOH) has information on their website.

press statement in February 2022 stated that 10 to 15 per cent of those infected with Covid-19 have long Covid.

International data suggests that the problem is larger. A meta-analysis and systematic review published in April 2022 that combined data from 50 international studies suggests that the worldwide prevalence of long Covid is 43 per cent (95 per cent CI, 39 to 46 per cent).

The rate in hospitalised patients was 54 per cent and in non-hospitalised patients, 34 per cent. In this review, rates of long Covid were highest in the Asian studies.

There are less studies on the long Covid risk after an asymptomatic infection, but data is emerging that 20 to 30 per cent of asymptomatic infections may result in having persistent symptoms.   

There are studies that show vaccination reduces the risk of long Covid by approximately 50 per cent; however, it does not remove the risk completely.

What Is The Impact Of Long Covid On The Brain, Heart And Other Organs?

A detailed UK study (published in April 2022) looking at individuals who received critical care for Covid-19, compared with matched controls, showed persistent cognitive impairment (average loss in IQ of 10 points) six to 10 months after admission with only gradual recovery.

A large longitudinal cohort study for one year (over 1,400 participants with a control group), from Wuhan, China (published March 2022) showed that 12 per cent of survivors had cognitive impairment 12 months after being discharged.

The risk was higher for individuals with severe cases; those with non-severe Covid-19 had a risk of early-onset cognitive decline.

A meta-analysis and systematic review (published in March 2022) looking at changes in cognitive functioning after Covid-19, summarised data from 27 studies involving more than 2,000 persons.

Impairment in executive functions, attention, and memory were found in post-Covid patients compared to healthy controls. One study showed 0.5 to 2 per cent brain shrinkage after infection compared with before the pandemic, even in mild infections.

large study from the United States (published in February 2022) looked at more than 150,000 individuals with Covid-19 and compared their cardiac risks with controls one year later.

They concluded: “Our results provide evidence that the risk and one-year burden of cardiovascular disease in survivors of acute Covid-19 are substantial. These risks and burdens were evident even among individuals who were not hospitalised”.

The risk is two to three times higher for those infected to get strokes, arrhythmias, ischemic heart disease, pericarditis, heart failure and clots (thromboembolic disease) one year after the infection.

There is increasing evidence suggesting there is an increased risk of diabetes after a Covid-19 infection, both in non-hospitalised and hospitalised patients (higher in those with severe Covid).

More data and studies can be quoted, but I hope the point is clear that long Covid is not mild, and may have long-term health consequences.

This impact is not just for those hospitalised, but includes asymptomatic infections. Children are also not spared. Many scientists now speak of the burden of disability that will come with this pandemic.

What Then Should We Do?

The aim of sharing this is not to instil a sense of fear or dread about the future, but to inform us about our risks. The declaration of a move to endemicity has made many relax.

Others who do not read the science and data are ignorant of their risks, and even deride those who are more careful.

What is required is a measured, careful approach that keeps our families safe while we continue with the needs of work, school, and leisure.

Some suggestions for us to consider:

Do not rashly follow those who advocate that we can “just get infected and move on with life”. Get your booster vaccination if you have not already got it.

Work to maintain your protection via reliable masks and effective indoor ventilation to reduce your risk of any infection. Avoid risky events, especially crowded outdoor events and venues where people are not wearing masks.  

Reduce your risk of long-term complications by keeping as fit as possible (especially maintaining a good body weight and keeping the mind active).

If you have been infected in the past, consider seeing your doctor to screen for cardiac and metabolic disease.

Finally, remember that with the limited testing currently, we cannot use case numbers to guide us about a new wave, especially one that may be more severe.

Hospital admissions are delayed markers, and we will only see a rise two to three weeks after a new wave.

Keep abreast of the science and data as it develops so that we can modify our behaviours according to the best evidence.

  • This is the personal opinion of the writer or publication and does not necessarily represent the views of CodeBlue.

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